In 1972, scientists at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) in the USA started a research to predict how and when the collapse of civilization would occur. The most important factor in the research is without considering the environmental and social harm of people was how stable in economic growth.
This research was reconsidered by a Netherlands-based consulting firm years later, and Gaya Herrington, the company’s Sustainability and Dynamic Systems Analysis Leader, decided to examine the accuracy of MIT’s research. Herrington, who created a simulation with the information in the research, that what we live in the world right now fits with the disaster scenario written by MIT. revealed
If it continues like this, social collapse is expected by 2040.
In the simulation created by Herrington, 10 basic variables such as world population, fertility rates, industrial production, non-renewable resources and ecological footprint were examined. When data from the world are compared with these key variables, MIT wrote: shows similarities with two scenarios named BAU2 and CT. concluded.
One of the most striking details within the scope of the research is that if the world continues to progress according to this scenario, Major collapse by 2040 will live. This destruction, called social collapse, will reduce the quality of life of people around the world and there will be a massive collapse in food and industrial production.
“It is not possible to grow continuously in economic terms”
As we mentioned at the beginning of our news, the most important thing MIT took into consideration was that people ignored environmental and social factors while trying to grow economically. Stating that ignoring these elements will lead to a disaster, scientists said that continuous growth is not possible, even with unprecedented technological development states that uncontrolled growth will directly affect the level of welfare, industrial production and agriculture. Herrington, who re-examined MIT’s scenarios, thinks that this negative impact can only be reduced by investing in technological developments and public services.
According to MIT, the date of collapse of civilization was 2020
A simulation created in 1972 using MIT’s computer program World 1 was designed to simulate things going on in the world by 2060. Jerry Foster, who conducted the research at that time, stated that with the data obtained, the quality of life would increase from 1940 to 2020. With an event that will happen in 2020 announced that this quality of life would begin to collapse.
Foster stated that in a radio program he participated in those years, an event that will deeply affect people and lead to a decrease in the population will occur in 2020, It is expected that life on Earth will end between 2040 and 2050. stated that they guessed.